The fourth turning is here : what the seasons of history tell us about how and when this crisis will end

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-- What the seasons of history tell us about how and when this crisis will end

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"The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America's past to predict our future in this startling and hopeful prophecy for how our present era of civil unrest will resolve over the next ten years--and what our lives will look like once it has"-- Twenty-six years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they'd uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly eighty to one hundred years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras--or "turnings"--that always arrive in the same order and each last about twenty years. The last of these eras--the fourth turning--was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution. Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived. And so Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us--the polarization, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war--will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America's next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill. Provided by publisher.

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Title

The fourth turning is here : what the seasons of history tell us about how and when this crisis will end -- What the seasons of history tell us about how and when this crisis will end

Call No

303.49 HOW

Edition

First Simon & Schuster hardcover edition.

Authors

Howe, Neil
Strauss, William

Subjects

Twenty-first century--Forecasts.
Cycles.
United States--History--1945-
United States--Forecasting.

Language

English

Published

New York, NY : Simon & Schuster, 2023.

Publication Desc

xi, 578 pages : illustrations ;

ISBN

9781982173739 (hardcover)

LCCN

2023007927

Target Audience

Unknown or not specified

Dimensions

24 cm.

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Summary Note

"The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America's past to predict our future in this startling and hopeful prophecy for how our present era of civil unrest will resolve over the next ten years--and what our lives will look like once it has"--
Twenty-six years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they'd uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly eighty to one hundred years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras--or "turnings"--that always arrive in the same order and each last about twenty years. The last of these eras--the fourth turning--was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution. Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived. And so Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us--the polarization, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war--will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America's next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill.
Provided by publisher.

General Note

Original work "The Fourth Turning" written by William Strauss and Neil Howe in 1997.

Content Note

Preface --Winter is here -- Part one: Seasons of history. Seasons of time -- Seasons of life -- Seasons of American history -- Complexity, anomalies, and global history -- Part two: Climax of winter. A winter chronology -- The millennial crisis -- How our society will change -- How our lives will change: Generations of late elders ; Boomer elders ; Gen X in midlife ; Millennial rising adults ; Homelander youth -- Part three: Coming of spring. A new saeculum is born -- Epilogue.